Lets get something straight, this team can have all the pitching it wants but it is built around offense. That being said, how will this years team stack up? Last year with one of the most prolific offenses in the MLB they sill fell short. Yes it was mainly due to a monumental (insert word that can’t be said here) on the part of the pitching staff. Using Bill James projections for 2012 lets check out the offence.
Catcher: Jarrod Saltalamacchia (sure it will be a platoon but Salty will be the go to guy); After a drastic start to the season the numbers never fully came around. In 103 games behind home plate Salty hit .235/.288/.450 falling below is career average of .244/.307/.406 in everything but Slg. While benefiting from career highs in doubles (23), triples (ok it was only 3 but still) and HR’s (16) he was serviceable in a line up that has had mediocre production from the catcher for a few years now. Next year Salty projects to be a .245/.311/.436 hitter with a OPS of .747. That said hopefully we will see a slight increase in his numbers but what you see is what you get.
First Base: Adrian Gonzalez; Needless to say the Sox need another huge year from Adrian is they want to contend. Blowing away his career numbers with a ..338/.410/.548 line the only thing more to ask for would be a return of his power numbers (27 HR). Father removed from shoulder injury should see those HR numbers bounce back. Gonzalez projects to be about the same, just a step off his blistering pace set last year with a line of .301/.387/.517.
Second Base: Dustin Pedroia; He of the oft changing nickname provided another great season at the plate no matter where he hit. Almost matching his career numbers exactly with at .307/.387/.474 he was also able to go yard a career high 21 times. Expect nothing but the same from Pedroia, .299/.378/.469, as he starts his prime years.
Third Base: Kevin Youkilis; Youk had a tough year with injuries and for his standards underperformed. At .258/.373/.459 Youk had one of his worst years so far. At 33 and with a “bad body”, it is not a stretch to say that Youk may be in the decline. There should be an increase with a healthy Youk, .281/.389/.489, but only time will tell if he can get through an entire season.
Short Stop: Marco Scutaro; .299/.358/.423 Scutaro provided a nice pop that no one predicted. Stepping up his game at the plate was a huge part of why the Red Sox offence preformed so well last year. .271/.341/.378 projected next year is a return to “normal” for Scutaro. He will be the go to guy with Jed Lowrey packing his bags this offseason and as long as they can get him regular rest Scutaro should continue to be a spark in whatever part of the lineup he is in.
Left Field: (ugh) Carl Crawford; It was bad, so bad that it won’t be written here. Projected at .286/.332/.436 we will hopefully see the player that tormented us in a Rays uniform. His speed is a huge asset and if Carl can start to get on base again it will give catchers nightmares in tandem with……
Center Field: Jacoby Ellsbury; .321/.376/.552 enough said. It was ridiculous, it was crazy, it was inexplicable. Ells hit like someone insulted his mother and then hit some more. If I hadn’t seen it I would never have believed this season happened. Can he repeat? Probably not, it’s just too insane to imagine. However, if he hits his projections at .304/.362/.476 the Red Sox will still be sitting right among the tops in the league in production from a center fielder.
Left Field: Anyone know who is going to play left? Right now my money is on Ryan Sweeney; Left field seems to be resigned to not being a power spot on the Sox. Projected at .285/.352/.392 (Oakland projections) Sweeney should do fine in this lineup. He tends to hit opposite field so we may see his home run numbers increase slightly and he should benefit from the wall in left.
That’s it, those are your 2012 Red Sox at the plate, we should be in for another offensive treat of a season.